MLB The Show 25 Favorites: Mets’ Costly Missed Playoffs

MLB The Show 25 predicts top teams like the Mets and Dodgers for postseason success, but surprises like the Mets' fall from grace highlight the unpredictability of baseball.

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In the March to October mode of MLB The Show 25, a select group of seven teams are classified as "favorites," each expected to have the best shot at postseason success. These top-tier squads are projected to win at least 91 games, including the Dodgers, Phillies, Braves, Mets, Rangers, Yankees, and Orioles. However, the game's predictions proved to be far from accurate, with four of these teams failing to qualify for the playoffs. Among these, the Mets' fall from grace was particularly dramatic.

Despite a hefty $342 million investment in player salaries for 2025—second only to the Dodgers—the Mets finished the season with an 83-79 record and missed out on postseason play. Their signing spree included a record-breaking 15-year, $765 million deal for Juan Soto, yet their on-field performance did not meet expectations. This disappointing outcome has added to the franchise's long history of struggles, especially under owner Steve Cohen, who has been willing to spend lavishly in pursuit of a World Series title.

The Mets’ misfortune stands out especially when contrasted with other teams that spend significantly less but still succeed. For instance, the Guardians, Reds, and Tigers manage to secure playoff spots with less than half the Mets’ payroll, highlighting the franchise’s recent failures despite their financial muscle. For fans, this ongoing frustration fuels a desire for virtual solace, and MLB The Show 25 offers a virtual escape where the Mets often perform better than in real life.

In the game’s simulation of the previous season, the Mets finished with an 89-73 record, ranking as the fourth-best team overall. They excelled in power and defense, ranking second in both categories, and performed well across most league metrics, except for contact. Notably, Juan Soto is one of only three players in the game with a perfect 99 rating, alongside Aaron Judge and Shohei Ohtani. The roster also features high-caliber players like Francisco Lindor (95 overall) and Pete Alonso (85 overall), forming a potent offensive core capable of producing significant offensive output.

However, a persistent weakness in the Mets’ virtual and real teams alike lies in their starting pitching. With key starters like Kodai Senga, Griffin Canning, and Sean Manaea struggling with injuries or inconsistency, their rotation remains a notable vulnerability. Despite this, the team’s overall talent suggests they could still contend, as reflected in various simulation outcomes.

Across different simulations, the Mets’ records ranged from as high as 98-64, earning a first wild card spot, to as low as 83-79, missing the playoffs altogether. In one scenario, they finished second in their division and advanced to the divisional round, only to be eliminated by the Braves. In another, they claimed the division title but fell early in the postseason. Their postseason performances varied, with most simulations ending in wildcard round exits, often due to facing tough opponents like the Braves or Padres.

Trade activity in the simulations also played a role, with acquisitions such as Shane McClanahan, Brice Turang, and others bolstering the roster at different points. Individual achievements like Pete Alonso’s MVP consideration, Soto’s batting title, and Gold Glove awards for Lindor and Alvarez added realism and excitement, but ultimately, postseason success remained elusive.

Statistically, the Mets' average simulated record hovered around 90-71, with their best at 98-64 and worst at 83-79. Their playoff probability averaged around 80%, yet their deepest run was only as far as the divisional round. Interestingly, in one simulation, they missed the playoffs altogether—a mirror of their real-life struggles.

Overall, the Mets perform notably better in MLB The Show 25 than in reality, but not enough to escape their recurrent postseason disappointments. Despite their simulated successes, their virtual performances underscore a persistent pattern: even in alternate universes, the franchise faces challenges that prevent sustained playoff runs, reflecting the ongoing frustrations of Mets fans everywhere.

What is MLB The Show 25 and Stubs?

MLB The Show 25 Stubs serve as the main in-game currency, allowing players to purchase player cards, card packs, equipment, and customization options to enhance their team and overall experience. Stubs are essential for unlocking special content and gaining access to exclusive rewards within MLB The Show 25. While Stubs can be earned by completing games, challenges, and missions, players can also obtain them quickly through top-up services on trading platforms such as LootBar, which offers MLB The Show 25 Stubs for sale. This gives gamers flexibility in building their dream roster and customizing their gameplay.

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